Do We Really Need To Start This Early?

A Republican Presidential debate come spring of 2011?! Do we really need to start the Presidential campaign this early? The last Republican Presidential nomination process was too long, especially considering the fact it produced The Chipmunk John McCain as the eventual winner.

Yes, the term ‘winner’ is being used loosely here.

So, what’s to tell this early on?

  1. No candidates have yet entered the field, or not enough to make a difference.  If anyone has entered this soon and is doing more than building their ground game, their endless campaigning is going to be very, very old come primary season.
  2. We’ll see some candidates and know in advance what I’ve been fearing since Obama was first elected:  We have a field of complete losers, any of which will, if nominated, pull a repeat of McCain’s Epic Presidential Fail in 2008.

Furthermore, the Tea Party now exists where it did not in 2008.  As they have previously demonstrated in the recent Colorado governor’s race with Maes and in NY-23 by Scozzafava, deserting utter loser Republican candidates for third party runs is no longer out of the question.  In fact, said loser Republican drops to single percentage points in the end, a fate which may be repeated by some RINO loser if they’re awful enough in 2012.

But off topic to one of the few bright sides in 2008, McCain can’t bear the fact he lost to Obama, or so the reporting goes.  If it’s true, then every time he decides to go RINO, we can get on his nerves right back by reminding him of his Epic Presidential Fail.  Think about it:  We can be fighting his latest idiocy defensively for six years and be stuck with him, or he can be stuck with us.

As for the Republicans?  There’s still plenty of time not to bungle the 2012 Presidential nomination.  Whether or not they will use it to good effect remains to be seen, but their history since ’88 doesn’t leave much for encouragement.

Random Election Night News and Thoughts

There’s been a lot of analysis around the blogosphere today regarding the Republican beatdown of the Democrats last night.  You’ve likely read them already, so I’m just going to touch on a few random thoughts and bits of news I’ve yet to see, or bears repeating.  Random, because I can’t very well go about being organized on this blog.  It would be too rational.

  1. Republican Dan Benishek, the man running to replace that useless turd Stupak, won in his Congressional race.  I hope Benishek enjoys his victory, and Stupak spends the rest of his life realizing that he destroyed his career to damage his country when he caved on Obamacare.  Not that a Democrat would likely care.
  2. The Tea Parties were most effective at the state and Representative levels.  Statehouses, Governorships, and Congressional Representative seat pickups gained the most benefit from their efforts.  The Republicans gained Senate seats, but not with such regularity and we had to endure the frustrating Angle loss to Reid in Nevada.  However, the Tea Parties get two years to vet candidates now, as opposed to having to form from scratch and then scramble this time around.  That can only improve vetting and coordination on top of their current solid performance.
  3. Nancy Pelosi lost the gavel yesterday.  She did an interview with ABC where she’s spinning the same old “We took the tough votes to do good things” crap we’ll likely hear more of in the coming days as the shock settles on the other side.  However, she’s as much a martyr doing good works as I am a monkey’s uncle.  No good was done by her or her caucus during her tenure as Speaker, and we’ll be cleaning up her damage for years, if we can manage it at all.  Every Democrat who lost their jobs over Pelosi’s “good works” deserved it.  May they be forced to live with the rest of us in the mess they helped to create.
  4. California was a wipe.  The establishment candidates, those moderates running for governor and Senate that were supposedly perfect self-funding candidates had their rears handed to them, and the voters there also removed the 2/3 majority required to pass a budget, effectively rendering Republicans moot in the state.  Their collapse is on their own heads.
  5. In the special elections to replace vacated seats, Kirk won in Illinois by virtue of the fact his opponent self-destructed.  He’s the only Republican Senator that will be seated immediately.  Whether or not he is a Republican pick-up or Democrat retention by virtue of his voting habits yet remains to be seen.  Democrats Coons in Delaware and Manchin in West Virginia won their special elections and will also be seated in the lame duck session.
  6. 2012 starts now.  That includes finding candidates to remove RINO losers (though Snowe already has an opponent) and ensuring we don’t repeat the McCain Epic Presidential Fail of 2008.  Plus, the Republicans will have to be watched constantly, as they are prone to capitulate.  Should that happen, 2012 will be the start of Obama’s second term, and America will not be the country we once knew.

We’re off to a good start, but there’s work to do yet.  Don’t drop your guard or let up.

Tea Party Flashback Video

Are you loving the fact a solid stock of real conservatives were nominated in the Republican primaries this time around?  The Tea Parties deserve a lot of the credit for their work in making that happen.  So for today, I found this flashback commercial on YouTube made by a high school student in Alabama, and frankly, it will blow your mind…

Rolling the Videotape On This Year’s Primaries

We’re about to come to the end of primary season.  The O’Donnell-Castle match-up in Delaware should just about do it, and then it’s off to the general.  That race isn’t turning out to be very pretty either, but in terms of primaries, it’s time to think ahead to 2012.

Yes, 2012.  Entrenched incumbent RINOs are going to take some time and advance preparation to remove, so those of you with RINO infestations should think ahead.  But not before you sit down in the political locker room, run the videotape on this year’s primaries, and get a plan for improving the three things that need it.

1.)  Vetting candidates:  There’s a bit of trouble with O’Donnell in the Delaware race.  If Castle wins the primary, a Democrat will win in the general.  The only question will be proper labeling or the RINO brand.

If you want to hunt RINOs, check out the candidates first.  You don’t wind up trying to put someone who’s going to make your life extremely difficult over the finish line.  Catching trouble early can save you grief.

2.)  Predetermination:  The problem here is simple:  one unpopular RINO, multiple conservative challengers.  Unfortunately, all states can’t be blessed with a primary system like Utah’s, which forces a one-on-one contest between two candidates by weeding out the rest of them out prior to having one (see Bob Bennett as an example).  The solution is predetermination.

The state’s Tea Parties will ultimately have to decide which candidate to back before the primary begins.  However, to have a chance at getting rid of an entrenched RINO, there can be no plural candidates.  Choose a candidate before a primary starts, and it will decrease the chances that an incumbent RINO wins a plurality victory against a split opposition vote.

Doing this may seem a bit cold, especially if the multiple opposition candidates are all decent people with solid conservative track records.  But the alternative is a loss and being stuck with a RINO again.

3.)  Getting candidates ready for the big show:  Sharron Angle is an example of this.  She made it through the primary, and then Reid went to work on her in the general.  Due to some early gaffes from which she has not yet completely recovered, she’s running tied with a man so unpopular in his state that his son won’t mention his last name.

This can be avoided by helping candidates early in getting ready for the big show, which is the general election in November.

If a candidate is going to be facing an incumbent Democrat, one thing is certain:  The Democrat will be very good at retaining their job.  If your candidate isn’t ready, the Democrat will be retaining their job again that November.  That means having some idea of the game plan in place prior to the end of the primary, or getting one if the Democrat is already on the attack.  This also means letting your candidate know early on if they need to fix a gaffe problem, or finding out in a vetting process if there’s a problem that will have to be overcome (or disqualifies them).

Granted, I’m a blogger in a very tiny corner of the blogosphere churning out ideas at a keyboard.  However, I’m presenting them as food for thought and suggestions that could help your state win in its next RINO hunt.  Learn from the missteps and mistakes, and come the next round of primaries in 2012, your Tea Party group or grassroots candidate support could be that much more effective.