By now you’ve heard that Newt ran away with South Carolina in the primary. The down side of this is that South Carolina is a proportional delegate state under the new rules. This means that while Newt may get the largest share of delegates, he’s not taking them all. Mitt still gets some of them, so for now the race isn’t going to be decided before it gets to other states like it was for McCain in 2008. He had pretty much wrapped up the primaries and lost the general election around February of that year.
The biggest hit Mitt took wasn’t in delegates, but the meme of his inevitability. Now he’s more like Mr. Inevi<CRASH>. Since that’s pretty much all he has going for him besides the bogus electability argument (it’s what they say to promote all the non-conservative candidates nowadays), expect more shrill from his supporters.
Last, Mitt’s not the only one with something to lose. If he doesn’t make it through the primary, it will be the first time since Reagan that the Republican establishment doesn’t get its way in a Presidential nominee. Their reaction will likely be similar to 2010 as with Charlie Crist, Senator Murkowski, Karl Rove’s treatment of Cristine O’Donnell, and all the trouble we had with the NRSC trying to put milquetoast moderates into the race.
Still, it would be one more small victory.
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