As reported at Hot Air, the House will begin their next push on ObamaCare next Monday. I don’t believe the word “final” can be used just yet, given the number of times this beast has risen from the dead. So I’ll leave it at “next.”
And even after the Republicans gave those Democrats the best-timed present ever. Or possibly, it’s because they did. In either case, Pelosi is going to damn the torpedoes and go full-speed ahead, because they’re going to hit someone else.
Now onto the flip side. The first bill will be the one full of the bribes Pelosi can’t put into the Senate version of ObamaCare. Apparently, she’s going to ask her caucus to have faith that the Senate will take it up and pass it on reconciliation. She’s not mentioning that the Republicans will then use the opportunity to extend the nightmare and do even more damage with an endless stream of amendments. Harry Reid (D – Has Trouble in Nevada) knows this, and won’t be eager to do anything but put this behind him yesterday.
But say that they believe the Senate will pass their bribes and start selling out. My question then is “What would be worth it?”
- Pork? It didn’t help Ben Nelson, and he may yet become the undisputed King of Pork with the Cornhusker Kickback should the Senate bill become law.
- Appointments? Unless they don’t mind becoming a recess appointment, it’s not a possibility. They have to be confirmed by the Senate for that. Any Republican Senator can put a hold on a candidate that can’t be broken short of the 60 votes the Democrats no longer have, and chances are good that they will be targets for them. And there just aren’t enough czar positions to go around.
- Lobbying jobs? The firms won’t need them all. Do they want to take the chance that they’re one of those whose qualifications just aren’t sufficient to make the grade?
- Campaign help? Obama harms the chances of those he tries to assist, and has left a long trail of losses in his wake. Better that he stayed away. Missouri Democrat candidates realize this, and are acting accordingly.
- Campaign contributions? If they recall 1994, they outspent the Republicans then, too. And they hadn’t been annoying the electorate nearly this much either. What amount would help save them from a “yes” vote?
- The reassurance of long-term gain? Repeal is not the only option the Republicans have once they return to power. There are all kinds of things they can do to make this stop without a full-blown repeal, and no benefits with which to demagogue them on it until 2013.
- The end of the strain? It’s not going to be over once this bill becomes law. The lawsuits happen next, along with the mandates, the electoral punishment, and all of the damage. This bill will be front and center well past November if it passes, and the constituents will be even more furious.
- The leadership backs off? They’re far more transitory than the constituencies. Pelosi may be a minority leader AT BEST after November, but their home districts and states will be around much longer. Again, they should remember Ben Nelson. The bribes may indeed be hushed and rushed through well enough to pull the wool over everyone’s eyes temporarily, but the pizza treatment will be coming for them soon thereafter.
- The fear that they’ll be the ones to kill ObamaCare? Their base may not like it, but it will likely make them a rock star to everyone else. At this point, the relief they bring by killing this bill could well keep them seated through the coming 2010 maelstrom.
My advice to them? Kill the bill. Their lives become simpler and nothing the leadership is offering to do otherwise is worth it.
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